In the complex geopolitical landscape of the Middle East, Iran’s regime plays a pivotal role, yet the underlying motivations for its actions remain a subject of extensive analysis and debate.The National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI) provides critical insights into these motivations in its latest comprehensive analysis. The primary objective, according to the NCRI, is to divert attention from the regime’s internal instability and the growing unrest within Iranian society.
This tactic of exporting crises has been a consistent strategy for over four decades, aiming to overshadow the regime’s internal weaknesses and suppress the expanding network of Iranian Resistance.
Despite efforts to project power abroad, Iranian officials have acknowledged the deteriorating social and economic conditions in Iran, which further expose the regime’s fragility. Azar Mansouri, Secretary-General of the Islamic Iran Nation Party, raised concerns about the nation’s soaring inflation and wage decreases, which are impacting all societal strata except the ruling elite. He highlighted the increasing public discontent manifesting in various protests since December 2017.
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Hossein Marashi, Secretary-General of the Kargozaran Party, in January 2023, revealed that over 75% of the Iranian population is dissatisfied with the regime, with a significant portion actively protesting. The Jomhouri Eslami newspaper, in July 2023, cautioned regime officials about the potential uprising of the impoverished.
A critical issue for the regime is the growth of the organized resistance movement, notably the Resistance Units and the People’s Mojahedin of Iran (PMOI/MEK). Mehdi Rouhani Far, an expert in political affairs and terrorism, described the PMOI as a significant factor in the ongoing protests. The regime, recognizing the threat posed by these organizations, has shifted its focus to addressing this challenge.
Kazem Gharibabadi, Director of Human Rights Matters of the regime’s Judiciary, acknowledged the regime’s preoccupation with the PMOI, often brought up in discussions with European delegations. The NCRI’s report underscores the regime’s inability to manage Iran’s critical situation, characterized by escalating poverty, unemployment, and corruption. Moreover, the regime’s harsh tactics, including an increase in political executions, have failed to stabilize the situation.
Despite various factions calling for change, the regime’s tenure has been marked by a lack of meaningful action, leaving Iranians disillusioned. The NCRI points out that public statements and superficial blame on the regime’s leadership offer no real solution and cannot prevent the imminent burst of public outrage.
The NCRI asserts that the international community, often misled by the regime’s deceptive campaigns, has failed to understand the true motives behind Tehran’s regional activities. For lasting peace in the Middle East, recognizing the need for a complete regime change in Tehran, rather than a mere policy shift, is imperative.
MEK Iran (follow us on Twitter and Facebook), Maryam Rajavi’s on her site, Twitter & Facebook, NCRI (Twitter & Facebook), and People’s Mojahedin Organization of Iran – MEK IRAN – YouTu
