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Paying the price for appeasement

Ali Safavi

Iran Nuke reaction

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The Iranian Revolutionary Guards’ capture-at-gunpoint of 15 British sailors in the waters off the Iraqi coast last week was a brazen act in every respect. But, it was only the latest in the long chain of the Iranian regime’s outlaw behavior over the past two decades.

This act of belligerence, just before the United Nations Security Council adopted a second sanction resolution against Tehran, was a reminder that no matter how generous the incentives and how willing the gullible Europeans to offer them, Tehran is not about to abandon its nuclear weapons program, which it considers to be indispensable to its strategic survival.

And how have the British government reacted so far? Quite pathetic to say the least, still holding out the hope that it could convince the mullahs to release the captives through negotiations. Meanwhile, the sailors continue to "confess" and "write letters of apology."

How to make Tehran listen

Joseph Omidvar
ImageOnce again the United Nations Security Council unanimously voted on a resolution asking Iran to halt its nuclear activities. It gave Iran 60 days to execute the contents of the resolution.

Iran promptly rejected the resolution. Manouchehr Mottaki, Iran’s Foreign Minister said: "Suspension of uranium enrichment is not an option for Iran."

Just hours before ratification of the resolution, Tehran’s Friday prayer leader, Imami Kashani, who speaks for the ruling clerics stated: "If the UN Security Council ratifies ten more resolutions, we will not suspend uranium enrichment."

Even if we neglect the reliable intelligence and evidence regarding the clandestine activities of the Iranian regime to build nuclear weapons, and if we ignore specific findings by IAEA’s chief Mohammed ElBradei regarding the existence of activities undeclared to the nuclear agency for 20 years, Iran’s disregard for the Security Council resolutions and its defiance to repeated calls by the international community for negotiations is sufficient to conclude that the Iranian regime is determined to acquire nuclear weapons.  Obviously, a county with large gas and petroleum reserves (second in the world) should not insist on uranium enrichment just for nuclear energy in the face of international opposition and censure.

Iran blackmails, Britain negotiates

ImageJubin Afshar
Iran has once again seized British sailors just like it did three years ago. In that episode Iran managed to extract as much leverage on the British government as it could to steer itself through rough international waters designed to halt its pursuit of nuclear weapons.

The seizure of the British servicemen this time around, was again accompanied with tough talk from Tehran and its military spokesman and accusations that the British “illegal entrance into Iranian waters” is “a suspicious and aggressive action.”

Iranian state media reported that the 15 Britons had been transferred to Tehran, where a senior Iranian military official was quoted as saying they had “confessed to illegal entry into Iran’s waters.”

Iran: Détente or Appeasement?

Jubin Afshar
20 March 2007
 
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad CartoonAmong the most curious aspects of the debate over how to handle the rogue Iranian regime is perhaps the strew of Iran pundits who consistently argue in favor of accepting the current status quo in Iran, recognizing the Iranian regime as a major regional power, and providing security guarantees for its political survival, and recognizing it on par with a regional superpower to be reckoned with.

Such Iran experts argue that the Iranian regime enjoys widespread domestic support, wields a hefty military punch, and is a formidable enemy if the US or the West were to ever think of confronting it in its pursuit of suspected nuclear weapons or support of terrorism.

Most notable among such experts are Ray Takeyh, Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, Vali Nasr, Adjunct Senior Fellow for Middle East Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, and Gary Sick of the Gulf 2000 Project at Columbia University.

US-Iran: Why the regime won’t negotiate

Jubin Afshar
Iran IraqPolitical initiatives to resolve the Iraqi crisis usually attract much attention. The International Baghdad Conference on10 March drew together Iraq’s regional and international partners for a one day conference. The spotlight however was more than anything else on the US delegates, Ambassadors David Satterfield and Zalmay Khalilzad, and the Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister, Abbas Araghchi.

Many analysts asked whether Iran’s seat at the table implied recognition of its regional importance. Whether US recognition of Iran’s role in the region would facilitate a drop in violence in Iraq? Whether direct negotiations at the regional conference could help end 28 years of animosity between Iran and the United Sates? Whether the meeting could affect the outcome of the Iranian nuclear file at the UN Security Council?

But all the above really boiled down to one simple, central question: Is Iran ready to earnestly negotiate with the US?

London: EU Council of Ministers is bent on appeasing Tehran once more

Joseph Omidvar
ImageLet’s face it. Iran’s nuclear drive is a "train with no brake and reverse gear," with a driver named Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Unless the world leaders find the stop button quickly, a collision might be inevitable. That is an eventuality nobody wants to see. All indications call for need of a new, bold initiative but the EU appears hell-bent on pursuing the threadbare policy of appeasing Tehran once more and the mullahs are always ready to exploit all these signs of craven weakness.

Since Khomeini’s death in 1989 and the so-called “pragmatic” presidency of Hashemi Rafsanjani, the EU has continually banked on dealing with a moderating faction within the Iranian regime.

In 1997, Europe saw a new hope — the election of Mohammed Khatami, a “moderate” as president. The appeasement policy of the European countries for the next eight years enabled Tehran to get closer to obtain nuclear weapons. The list of European complicity, acquiescence and groveling submission to the mullahs went on and on.

Iraqi Dinar – higher against Dollar

The new Dinar

New Iraqi Dinar

Stop Fundamentalism, March 14 – Iraqi Dinar closed just above 1277 Dinars per Dollar today at Iraq’s Central Bank Auction.  This is 11 Dinars higher than last week’s auction prices.

The exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar has risen significantly at the expense of the dollar at the daily auction of treasury transfers, says a source at the Iraq’s Central Bank. 

Since the introduction of new Iraqi Dinar, this currency has demonstrated a great potential in gaining value against Dollar.  Reports indicate a high volume of trade at Iraq’s Central Bank through its network of 15 participating Banks throughout Iraq.

MEP s back Iranian resistance movement to democratic solution

iran nuclearNew Europe, the European Weekly, Feb 18– A group of Members of the European Parliament met with the Iranian resistance movement in Strasbourg on February 14 to discuss plans to change Iran from within. 

As the situation in Iraq deteriorates, the prospect of the Americans being able to open a second front against the highly-militarized Iranians would be disastrous, MEP Struan Stevenson from the UK, vice president of the EPP-ED Group and co-chair of the Friends of a Free Iran Inter-group, told the meeting, adding that Iran is supporting insurgents in neighboring Iraq. 

Iraqi Dinar stable; Dollar demand high says Iraq Central Bank

Iraqi Dinar

The New Iraqi Dinar

Stop Fundamentalism, February 27 – Iraqi Dinar closed just below 1288 Dinars per Dollar today at Iraq’s Central Bank Auction.  This is unchanged from last Tuesday, says the ICB.

Since the introduction of new Iraqi Dinar, this currency has demonstrated a great potential in gaining value against Dollar.  Just last November and December Dinar was sold for prices above 1400 per Dollar.

Reports indicate a high volume of trade at Iraq’s Central Bank through its network of 14 participating Banks throughout Iraq.

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From the very first days of inception, the Iranian regime under the leadership of Ayatollah Khomeini, clearly and repeatedly expressed intentions to expand and spread its fundamentalist rule throughout the region.

Before the opportunity in Iraq arose, the Iranian regime had been secretly developing its nuclear program for 18 years. After the war in Iraq, the mullahs faced an opportunity of a lifetime. The void of power in Iraq was an open invitation for the mullahs to realize their lifetime dream of an Islamic Empire.

But mullahs with an atomic bomb and having achieved control in Iraq will never stop there as we can already see the disastrous developments in Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza Strip. Iraq is only the beginning. If the mullahs manage to gain control in Iraq, the whole region will flare up and soon we’ll all have to face a devastating war even bigger than the World War II.

Confronting the Islamic Republic, the West finds itself with no options. It either has to go to war right now or accept defeat and pullout of Iraq only to face a bigger war shortly after.

But there is a peaceful solution. The solution lie’s in the hands of the Iranian people who strive for a democratic change.

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